William Katz:  Urgent Agenda

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A KEY PRIZE – AT 1:16 P.M. ET:  Florida is one of the major prizes in this year's election.  Donald Trump has gotten some good news about his prospects there.  From the New York Post: 

Donald Trump is beating Hillary Clinton by four points in the crucial battleground state of Florida, according to a newly released poll.

The New York Times Upshot/Siena College poll shows Trump receiving the support of 46 percent of likely Florida voters, while Clinton is at 42 percent. Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson is at 4 percent, while Green Party candidate Jill Stein is at 2 percent.

The poll shows Clinton leading women by a 7-percentage point lead (previously she had a ten point lead), while Trump has grown his lead among men to 18 points (previously it was 9).

Among white voters, Trump has a massive lead, 58 percent to Clinton’s 29 percent. But Clinton has a significant edge with black voters (81 percent to 11 percent) and Hispanics/Latinos (59 percent to 30 percent).

“Both Trump and Clinton continue to hold tremendous leads with voters from their own party but self- identified independents have moved from leaning to Trump by two points to now giving the Republican a twelve point advantage as support for Johnson has been cut in half,” said Siena College pollster Don Levy.

COMMENT:  This election is clearly turning into a horse race, although we still have more than a week to go, and we don't know what new bombshells will burst...on either campaign.  But there are clear indications of progress for Trump.  Now the question is whether he can be disciplined as the campaign winds down.

October 30, 2016